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【漁民系列】還有誰可以獨善其身嗎? 付費會員獨家

US Equities down another 10% last night, even after Fed’s massive liquidity injection. I understand the snow slide is due to massive deleveraging. We have seen this in year 2008; but today, the low interest rates globally with massive money printed in the last decade inflated the whole world’s leveraging even worse. Thus the sell-off pressure in US Equities when the mkt is forced to deleverage as Equities price no longer holds. The sell-off pressure has infected the liquidity (like the Covid virus), across all asset classes, including the most liquid asset: US cash Treasuries. This has NEVER happened in modern financial history in my limited memory.

【漁民系列】Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

Thanks all for the support on my article pre-Asia opened on March 9th , alerting volatilities in the Equities Mkt. We saw the first capitulation day that evening in US with the 2000 points drop in Dow Jones Index. With the expected fiscal stimulus (0% payroll tax this year) and Fed’s added liquidity, the mkt had a strong rebound of 1100 points in DJI last night. My Whatsapp this morning is blown with friends’ question: “Have we seen the US Equities bottom?”

【名家給力場 - 2020年3月4日】

【Now財經台】聯儲局罕見緊急減息,市場照樣「無面俾」,美股昨晚仍要大跌。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄指出,減息手段不能常用,減太多,反而令到市場憂慮經濟「係咪咁差」。佢亦指出,早前美股對疫情的反應有點「掉以輕心」,疫情下仍不斷創新高,現時終於「回歸現實」,市況開始反映疫情逐步擴散對環球經濟的衝擊,佢估計,美股市值偏貴前題下,大市可能仲有30%的下調空間,個別強勢科技股甚至要跌近50%,建議投資者不要咁快入市「搏反彈」。

【漁民系列】口罩股唔好炒錯 付費會員獨家

過去兩周,相信各位師兄師姐都經歷咗「一罩難求」的香江歲月,連2003年沙士都未試過咁誇張。今次武漢肺炎疫情真係唔講得笑,惹到幾乎全世界都係,港股勁瀉唔在講,連美股都插埋一份,所以無論健康抑或投資,大家都請做好風險管理。如果各位有跟船長做tail hedge,加埋A、B餐頂住,應有望力保不失甚至有賺,個股方面亦宜訂好止蝕,留得青山在。我諗無論香港或中國大陸,好多人都會匿喺屋企煮丁麵食,免得過唔會出街,費事無啦啦中招。

【名家給力場 - 2020年2月5日】

【Now財經台】新型冠狀病毒肺炎疫情仍未受控,但美股已經率先反彈,對投資市場有沒有啟示呢?

「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄說,現時避險資產包括債券、黃金及公用股的表現,走勢仍優於大市,負利率債的需求更從低位回升,反映市場避險氣氛作濃厚,投資者需要留意。

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=563473

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=563475

【名家給力場 - 2020年1月8日】

【Now財經台】美國在伊拉克的基地受襲,中東緊張局勢升溫,油價、金價再度上升,不過,本港這邊的油股升幅未如想像般高,部分甚至反高潮要倒跌。

「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄指,石油是商品,而油股則是股票,兩者係不同嘅資產類別,今次地緣政局推升了油價,但對股市卻有負面影響,所以會見到油股跑輸油價。Lewis又指過往廿次中東危機之後的一個月,油價平均升幅有5.9%,而截至昨日油價只升了約3%,故估計油價今年見70美元以上的機會較大。

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=558073

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=558080