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【名家給力場 - 2020年3月18日】 付費會員獨家

【名家給力場】疫情第二波 重災區轉至歐美

【Now財經台】新型肺炎疫情仍然是環球市場焦點,但疫情的重災區,已經由中國轉移至歐美。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄說,歐美地區國民的防疫意識普遍較亞洲區低,防疫成果自然不甚樂觀,當地投資市場的風險不容忽視........

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=572602

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=572603

【漁民系列】交易的黃金法則 (上)

文樂上兩次分享完金價嘅分析,希望對各位早前嘅步署有幫助。相信大家都有跟隨博士指引,當金價於US$1700左右減持Trading Position。意外嘅係,本周初破頂後只係短短數日,金價已經由高位回調了前升幅既75%以上 (以去年12月初低點起計)。現時金市及債市就如提款機一樣,當市場嚴重缺水時,便會秩序大亂,不理基本因素好壞都要捱沽。小弟今次就於$1570左右入左一注,呢注唔會走住,但亦都唔敢再加。

【漁民系列】還有誰可以獨善其身嗎? 付費會員獨家

US Equities down another 10% last night, even after Fed’s massive liquidity injection. I understand the snow slide is due to massive deleveraging. We have seen this in year 2008; but today, the low interest rates globally with massive money printed in the last decade inflated the whole world’s leveraging even worse. Thus the sell-off pressure in US Equities when the mkt is forced to deleverage as Equities price no longer holds. The sell-off pressure has infected the liquidity (like the Covid virus), across all asset classes, including the most liquid asset: US cash Treasuries. This has NEVER happened in modern financial history in my limited memory.

【漁民系列】Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

Thanks all for the support on my article pre-Asia opened on March 9th , alerting volatilities in the Equities Mkt. We saw the first capitulation day that evening in US with the 2000 points drop in Dow Jones Index. With the expected fiscal stimulus (0% payroll tax this year) and Fed’s added liquidity, the mkt had a strong rebound of 1100 points in DJI last night. My Whatsapp this morning is blown with friends’ question: “Have we seen the US Equities bottom?”

【漁民系列】Don’t Fight the Bond, and 不要在油價面前逞強 付費會員獨家

Don’t Fight the Bond, and  不要在油價面前逞強

#漁Fool

本人拜讀莊博的心得多年,獲益良多;獲邀分享點滴觀察,受寵若驚,望拋磚引玉。

漁Fool年青時從事利率投資,已經提早退休十年,一直依靠平衡三大資產 (環球股票丶債券丶黃金),有幸避過大跌浪,繼續養魚,賺到魚糧 (我不擅 長捉魚,只懂養魚)。

 

【名家給力場 - 2020年3月4日】

【Now財經台】聯儲局罕見緊急減息,市場照樣「無面俾」,美股昨晚仍要大跌。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄指出,減息手段不能常用,減太多,反而令到市場憂慮經濟「係咪咁差」。佢亦指出,早前美股對疫情的反應有點「掉以輕心」,疫情下仍不斷創新高,現時終於「回歸現實」,市況開始反映疫情逐步擴散對環球經濟的衝擊,佢估計,美股市值偏貴前題下,大市可能仲有30%的下調空間,個別強勢科技股甚至要跌近50%,建議投資者不要咁快入市「搏反彈」。

【漁民系列】疫情下的內房產業 付費會員獨家

二月中、上旬,內地房地產顧問億翰智庫聯同房地產商會,向67家房企進行問卷調查,研究在肺炎疫情下房企的經營情況。受訪的企業,涵蓋大中小開發商,其中16家(24%)年銷售額達到1000億元人民幣以上,其餘的大部份是500億元以下。調研是在各地方政府出台政策為房企作不同程度鬆綁前,正好解釋了政策出台的原因。下面是調研的結果: